The story is not that China declined to fire every weapon it built. It is that China built them, still holds them, and can deploy them in an election less than three months from now.
Start with the arsenal. A CIA World Intelligence Review published July 1, 2020, jointly with the FBI and the National Security Agency, reported Chinese state-sponsored cyber actors spear-phishing a U.S. presidential campaign and collecting election-related information from voter databases, a polling firm, and political organizations.
That same summer, Beijing’s planners were mapping the recession, COVID-19, racial conflict, policing, immigration, and partisan division as American vulnerabilities to exploit — with themes questioning President Donald Trump’s fitness to govern and undermining the legitimacy of his presidency.
Beijing, in other words, was inside one campaign’s email while building a playbook against the other. That is not a preference. It is a posture: collect on everyone, build everything, decide later.
The same CIA memo assessed that Beijing “does not currently intend to covertly interfere or try to sway the outcome of the election.” That sentence is the whole case. Our intelligence services watched an adversary penetrate a presidential campaign and harvest voter data, then reported that Beijing had not yet decided to use any of it.
Intent is a decision. Capability is what remains after the decision changes.
Read more at Washington Examiner.